2025 Sweet 16 Preview and Updated Championship Odds – Episode 111

The first weekend of the 2025 NCAA Division III men’s basketball tournament is in the books and what a weekend it was! The first and second rounds saw a little bit of everything – favorites cruising, upsets, overtime, great plays and great games. We can expect more of that in the tournament’s second weekend and we’re back to break it all down.

As we did going into the first round, we have another in-depth look at the matchups we will see in Friday’s matchups in the sectionals. Join us as we dive deep into the matchups and gain some context with how the D3 Datacast computer sees each pairing all the way down to win probabilities and point spreads.

Then it’s time to zoom back out and take an updated look at what the computer sees as the odds for each team to advance through each round of the bracket all the way up to winning it all. It is interesting to see how some teams’ chances have changed from their outlook at the beginning of the tournament and we talk about why that might be.

We close out with a look back at how we did against last week’s picks slate and are back with a new slate of five Sweet 16 games to pick against the computer line.

Note: This episode had been available in early access through Patreon. Head to our Patreon page for more information on how you can support us and gain early access to future episodes.

Related Episodes:
2025 D3 Basketball Tournament First Round Picks and Preview – Episode 109
2025 NCAA Tournament Overall Bracket Odds – Episode 110

Related Links:
Efficiency Ratings
Daily Score Predictions
NPI
D3Hoops.com Top 25 Poll


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